Match context

The upcoming match between Arsenal Sarandi and Ituzaingó is scheduled for 25.08.2026 18:00 in Primera B Metropolitana. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Arsenal Sarandi are in position 3 with 52 points after 28 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWLW. Ituzaingó are in position 22 with 12 points after 28 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 9 draws and 18 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLLD.

Recent results

Arsenal Sarandi recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDDWLWWD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ituzaingó recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDDLLDLL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandi recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Ituzaingó recorded 0 wins. The average total was 0 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 100%; Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Arsenal Sarandi to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.85%, 22.96% and 11.19%. The model momentum difference is 54.65 points in favour of Arsenal Sarandi. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 3).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Arsenal Sarandi at home is based on 15 matches. The team averages 2.53 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 86.7%, 40.0%, 33.3% and 13.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 26.7%. Season card data is available for 30 of 30 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Ituzaingó away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.64 red cards and 3.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 64.3%, 50.0% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 57.1%. Season card data is available for 24 of 27 completed matches (88.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Arsenal Sarandi and Ituzaingó ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Arsenal Sarandi at home was based on 15 matches, with averages of 2.53 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Arsenal Sarandi received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 13.3%, and a red card in 26.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ituzaingó away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.64 red cards and 3.64 total cards per match. In this game, Ituzaingó received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.64 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 64.3% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 57.1%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 3. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.