Match context

The upcoming match between Arsenal Sarandi and UAI Urquiza is scheduled for 12.09.2026 18:00 in Primera B Metropolitana. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Arsenal Sarandi are in position 2 with 63 points after 28 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDL. UAI Urquiza are in position 21 with 31 points after 28 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 17 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDL.

Recent results

Arsenal Sarandi recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDLDDDWL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. UAI Urquiza recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLDDDLD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandi recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and UAI Urquiza recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 20%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Arsenal Sarandi to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.47%, 24.68% and 11.85%. The model momentum difference is 51.62 points in favour of Arsenal Sarandi. The input data quality score is 87/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Arsenal Sarandi 0 / UAI Urquiza 0 supports Arsenal Sarandi by an average 3.58 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Arsenal Sarandi at home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 2.47 yellow cards, 0.24 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 82.4%, 41.2%, 29.4% and 11.8% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 23.5%. Season card data is available for 33 of 33 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for UAI Urquiza away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.92 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 41.7% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 25 of 30 completed matches (83.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Arsenal Sarandi and UAI Urquiza ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Arsenal Sarandi at home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 2.47 yellow cards, 0.24 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. In this game, Arsenal Sarandi received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 41.2% of matches, 5+ in 11.8%, and a red card in 23.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UAI Urquiza away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.92 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, UAI Urquiza received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 8.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Arsenal Sarandi at 0. The stored market movement was 3.58 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.