Match context

The upcoming match between Excursionistas and Villa Dalmine is scheduled for 12.09.2026 23:00 in Primera B Metropolitana. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Excursionistas are in position 1 with 65 points after 28 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWW. Villa Dalmine are in position 5 with 60 points after 28 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDWW.

Recent results

Excursionistas recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWLWDDW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Villa Dalmine recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDWWLWDDD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 0.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Villa Dalmine recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.43 goals per match. Both teams scored in 42.9% of those matches, while 71.4% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Excursionistas 0 / Villa Dalmine 0 supports Excursionistas by an average 5.33 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Excursionistas at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 12.5%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 22 of 28 completed matches (78.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Villa Dalmine away from home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 2.76 yellow cards, 0.12 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 82.4%, 58.8%, 23.5% and 17.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.8%. Season card data is available for 33 of 34 completed matches (97.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Excursionistas and Villa Dalmine ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.43 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Excursionistas at 0. The stored market movement was 5.33 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.