Match context

The upcoming match between Kooteepee and SJK Akatemia is scheduled for 31.07.2026 15:30 in Ykkösliiga. The listed venue is Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kooteepee are in position 2 with 33 points after 16 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWDW. SJK Akatemia are in position 10 with 9 points after 16 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDLL.

Recent results

Kooteepee recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWWLWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. SJK Akatemia recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDLLLDLLL. The averages are 0.30 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kooteepee recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and SJK Akatemia recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.22 goals per match. Both teams scored in 44.4% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kooteepee to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.12%, 18.75% and 11.13%. The model momentum difference is 58.99 points in favour of Kooteepee. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Kooteepee and SJK Akatemia ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.22 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.