Match context

The upcoming match between JIPPO and SJK Akatemia is scheduled for 15.08.2026 13:00 in Ykkösliiga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
JIPPO are in position 4 with 31 points after 18 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWW. SJK Akatemia are in position 10 with 9 points after 17 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDDD.

Recent results

JIPPO recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWDDWDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. SJK Akatemia recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDDDLLLDL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, JIPPO recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and SJK Akatemia recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.38 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as JIPPO to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.87%, 22.15% and 12.97%. The model momentum difference is 51.90 points in favour of JIPPO. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

A current confirmed reversal signal is stored for Away +1.25. It is a market indicator rather than a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 3.5 (odds 1.40, score 91/100, 85% bucket win rate across 20 observations). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 77/100, 77.30% bucket win rate across 370 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for JIPPO at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.71 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 18 completed matches (88.9% coverage). The discipline profile for SJK Akatemia away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 42.9%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 18 completed matches (83.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between JIPPO and SJK Akatemia ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.38 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for JIPPO at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.71 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. In this game, JIPPO received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for SJK Akatemia away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. In this game, SJK Akatemia received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.14 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported SJK Akatemia at +1.25. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.