Match context

The upcoming match between PK-35 and JäPS is scheduled for 21.08.2026 16:00 in Ykkösliiga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
PK-35 are in position 2 with 38 points after 17 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLDW. JäPS are in position 5 with 28 points after 18 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWW.

Recent results

PK-35 recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDWWWWWD. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. JäPS recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWLWLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, PK-35 recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and JäPS recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as PK-35 or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.53%, 23.56% and 17.91%. The model momentum difference is 40.62 points in favour of PK-35. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.42%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.25, score 76/100, 75.54% bucket win rate across 368 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for PK-35 at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 19 completed matches (73.7% coverage). The discipline profile for JäPS away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 62.5%, 62.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 19 completed matches (89.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between PK-35 and JäPS ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for PK-35 at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, PK-35 received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for JäPS away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. In this game, JäPS received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 25%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.25. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.