Match context

The upcoming match between Kooteepee and JäPS is scheduled for 11.09.2026 15:30 in Ykkösliiga. The listed venue is Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kooteepee are in position 1 with 48 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. JäPS are in position 5 with 29 points after 18 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWL.

Recent results

Kooteepee recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWDLWD. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. JäPS recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLLWLWWLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kooteepee recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and JäPS recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kooteepee to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.67%, 18.80% and 15.53%. The model momentum difference is 50.14 points in favour of Kooteepee. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.69%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kooteepee +0.5 / JäPS -0.5 supports Kooteepee by an average 1.03 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 84.38% group success rate across 1165 observations). Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.24, score 86/100, 86.21% bucket win rate across 29 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kooteepee at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.27 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 27.3%, 18.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for JäPS away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.70 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 22 completed matches (90.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kooteepee and JäPS ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 total goals, while this match produced 3. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kooteepee at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.27 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. In this game, Kooteepee received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.27 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for JäPS away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.7 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.9 total cards per match. In this game, JäPS received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kooteepee at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.03 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.