Match context

The upcoming match between Rosengård and Utsikten is scheduled for 16.08.2026 14:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Rosengård are in position 6 with 26 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDLW. Utsikten are in position 16 with 5 points after 15 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL.

Recent results

Rosengård recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDLWWLWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Utsikten recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLLLLWLD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rosengård recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Utsikten recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Rosengård to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.06%, 16.43% and 9.51%. The model momentum difference is 64.55 points in favour of Rosengård. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.65%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Rosengård at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 25.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 16 completed matches (62.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Utsikten away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 1.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 20.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 16 completed matches (50.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Rosengård and Utsikten ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.33 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.