Match context

The upcoming match between AFC Malmo and Lund is scheduled for 22.08.2026 11:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
AFC Malmo are in position 4 with 29 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDWL. Lund are in position 5 with 28 points after 15 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDWD.

Recent results

AFC Malmo recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDWLWWWLW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Lund recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDWDLDWWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmo recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Lund recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair AFC Malmo -0.25 / Lund +0.25 supports Lund by an average 1.03 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 77/100, 77.31% bucket win rate across 454 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for AFC Malmo at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 20.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 15 completed matches (66.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Lund away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.71 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 42.9%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 10 of 17 completed matches (58.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between AFC Malmo and Lund ended 2-5. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for AFC Malmo at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, AFC Malmo received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Lund away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.71 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. In this game, Lund received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Lund at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.03 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.