Match context

The upcoming match between Skövde AIK and trelleborgs FF is scheduled for 06.09.2026 11:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Skövde AIK are in position 12 with 21 points after 15 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLDL. trelleborgs FF are in position 1 with 39 points after 15 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWD.

Recent results

Skövde AIK recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLDLLDLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. trelleborgs FF recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWDLDWWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 93%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or trelleborgs FF (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.80%, 23.45% and 56.75%. The model momentum difference is 36.95 points in favour of trelleborgs FF. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Skövde AIK -0.25 / trelleborgs FF +0.25 supports Skövde AIK by an average 1.08 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 80/100, 79.59% bucket win rate across 588 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Skövde AIK at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 19 completed matches (52.6% coverage). The discipline profile for trelleborgs FF away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 20.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 19 completed matches (57.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Skövde AIK and trelleborgs FF ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Skövde AIK at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Skövde AIK received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for trelleborgs FF away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.8 total cards per match. In this game, trelleborgs FF received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Skövde AIK at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.08 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.