Match context

The upcoming match between Trollhättan and Utsikten is scheduled for 11.09.2026 17:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Trollhättan are in position 11 with 25 points after 20 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL. Utsikten are in position 16 with 8 points after 20 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 5 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 49 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDDL.

Recent results

Trollhättan recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLWWDLD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Utsikten recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLDDLDWLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trollhättan recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Utsikten recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.13 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Trollhättan to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.55%, 19.02% and 16.43%. The model momentum difference is 48.12 points in favour of Trollhättan. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.64%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Trollhättan 0 / Utsikten 0 supports Utsikten by an average 1.07 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 84.38% group success rate across 1165 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Trollhättan at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 16.7%, 16.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 12 of 20 completed matches (60.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Utsikten away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 1.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 20.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 20 completed matches (50.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Trollhättan and Utsikten ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.13 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Trollhättan at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. In this game, Trollhättan received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.17 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Utsikten away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 1.2 total cards per match. In this game, Utsikten received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.8 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Utsikten at 0. The stored market movement was 1.07 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.