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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Jonkopings Sodra 🟡 Draws Skövde AIK 🔴
Date Match Score
01.06.2026 Skövde AIK - Jonkopings Sodra 1 : 0
14.03.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 2 : 1
06.10.2025 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 1 : 0
03.05.2025 Skövde AIK - Jonkopings Sodra 1 : 0
23.10.2023 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 2 : 2
09.04.2023 Skövde AIK - Jonkopings Sodra 3 : 3
28.08.2022 Skövde AIK - Jonkopings Sodra 1 : 1
24.05.2022 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 0 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Jonkopings Sodra

Date Match Score Res
17.10.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - AFC Malmo 2 - 1 W
10.10.2026 Hässleholms IF - Jonkopings Sodra 1 - 0 L
03.10.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - Eskilsminne 0 - 1 L
26.09.2026 Utsikten - Jonkopings Sodra 3 - 0 L
21.09.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 3 - 2 W

📆 Latest Matches: Skövde AIK

Date Match Score Res
17.10.2026 Skövde AIK - Eskilsminne 2 - 2 D
10.10.2026 AFC Malmo - Skövde AIK 4 - 2 L
03.10.2026 Skövde AIK - Utsikten 3 - 2 W
26.09.2026 Skövde AIK - Olympic 2 - 1 W
21.09.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 3 - 2 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Jonkopings Sodra and Skövde AIK is scheduled for 21.09.2026 17:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Jonkopings Sodra are in position 9 with 30 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWD. Skövde AIK are in position 12 with 27 points after 22 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDW.

Recent results

Jonkopings Sodra recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWDDWLLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. Skövde AIK recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDLWLDLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jonkopings Sodra recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Skövde AIK recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.38 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 37.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Jonkopings Sodra or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.84%, 24.23% and 17.93%. The model momentum difference is 39.91 points in favour of Jonkopings Sodra. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.72%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Jonkopings Sodra -0.75 / Skövde AIK +0.75 supports Jonkopings Sodra by an average 4.35 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.25, score 76/100, 75.89% bucket win rate across 593 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 11, score 77/100, 77.37% group success rate across 3708 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Jonkopings Sodra at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.63 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 15 of 22 completed matches (68.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Skövde AIK away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.71 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 14.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 22 completed matches (54.5% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-20 23:30:03 · Locked: 2026-09-21 18:40:12

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Jonkopings Sodra and Skövde AIK ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.38 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Jonkopings Sodra at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.63 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, Jonkopings Sodra received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Skövde AIK away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.71 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. In this game, Skövde AIK received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 14.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Jonkopings Sodra at -0.75. The stored market movement was 4.35 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.25. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 11. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-21 21:21:17
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