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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Lund 🟡 Draws Laholm 🔴
Date Match Score
13.05.2026 Laholm - Lund 4 : 3

🗓 Latest Matches: Lund

Date Match Score Res
16.10.2026 Lund - trelleborgs FF 2 - 4 L
10.10.2026 Lund - Trollhättan 4 - 3 W
02.10.2026 Lund - Laholm 0 - 1 L
25.09.2026 Lund - Kristianstad 0 - 1 L
19.09.2026 Atvidabergs FF - Lund 1 - 0 L

📆 Latest Matches: Laholm

Date Match Score Res
17.10.2026 Angelholms FF - Laholm 0 - 1 W
12.10.2026 Laholm - Tvååker 1 - 1 D
02.10.2026 Lund - Laholm 0 - 1 W
26.09.2026 Laholm - Atvidabergs FF 1 - 2 L
20.09.2026 Laholm - Kristianstad 2 - 3 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Lund and Laholm is scheduled for 02.10.2026 17:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Lund are in position 4 with 41 points after 24 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWWD. Laholm are in position 14 with 22 points after 24 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 43 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDWL.

Recent results

Lund recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWDWWLDD. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Laholm recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDWLDLDWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Lund recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Laholm recorded 1 wins. The average total was 7 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Lund to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.88%, 21.81% and 14.31%. The model momentum difference is 49.57 points in favour of Lund. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.57%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Lund 0 / Laholm 0 supports Lund by an average 5.77 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.83% group success rate across 2548 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Lund at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.60 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 24 completed matches (58.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Laholm away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 12.5%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 18 of 24 completed matches (75.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-10-01 22:00:04 · Locked: 2026-10-02 18:40:08

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Lund and Laholm ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Lund at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.6 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.6 total cards per match. In this game, Lund received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Laholm away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. In this game, Laholm received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.12 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 12.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Lund at 0. The stored market movement was 5.77 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-10-02 21:21:17
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