Match context

The upcoming match between Skövde AIK and Utsikten is scheduled for 03.10.2026 14:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Skövde AIK are in position 11 with 30 points after 24 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWW. Utsikten are in position 16 with 12 points after 24 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 6 draws and 16 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 57 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLD.

Recent results

Skövde AIK recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWWDLWLD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Utsikten recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLDLLDDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Skövde AIK recorded 2 wins, there were 4 draws, and Utsikten recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Skövde AIK to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.91%, 20.96% and 15.13%. The model momentum difference is 48.79 points in favour of Skövde AIK. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.24%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Skövde AIK -0.25 / Utsikten +0.25 supports Skövde AIK by an average 6.00 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Skövde AIK at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 20.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 24 completed matches (54.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Utsikten away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.14 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 28.6%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 14 of 24 completed matches (58.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Skövde AIK and Utsikten ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Skövde AIK at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Skövde AIK received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Utsikten away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.14 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.29 total cards per match. In this game, Utsikten received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.29 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Skövde AIK at -0.25. The stored market movement was 6 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.