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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 AFC Malmo 🟡 Draws Skövde AIK 🔴
Date Match Score
23.05.2026 Skövde AIK - AFC Malmo 0 : 4

🗓 Latest Matches: AFC Malmo

Date Match Score Res
17.10.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - AFC Malmo 2 - 1 L
10.10.2026 AFC Malmo - Skövde AIK 4 - 2 W
02.10.2026 Kristianstad - AFC Malmo 0 - 1 W
27.09.2026 Eskilsminne - AFC Malmo 1 - 2 W
19.09.2026 AFC Malmo - Utsikten 3 - 1 W

📆 Latest Matches: Skövde AIK

Date Match Score Res
17.10.2026 Skövde AIK - Eskilsminne 2 - 2 D
10.10.2026 AFC Malmo - Skövde AIK 4 - 2 L
03.10.2026 Skövde AIK - Utsikten 3 - 2 W
26.09.2026 Skövde AIK - Olympic 2 - 1 W
21.09.2026 Jonkopings Sodra - Skövde AIK 3 - 2 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between AFC Malmo and Skövde AIK is scheduled for 10.10.2026 14:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
AFC Malmo are in position 5 with 41 points after 25 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLD. Skövde AIK are in position 10 with 33 points after 25 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 38 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLW.

Recent results

AFC Malmo recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLDDDLDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Skövde AIK recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLWWDLWL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmo recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Skövde AIK recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as AFC Malmo or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.06%, 22.21% and 19.74%. The model momentum difference is 38.32 points in favour of AFC Malmo. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.09%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair AFC Malmo 0 / Skövde AIK 0 supports AFC Malmo by an average 1.93 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for AFC Malmo at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 23 completed matches (73.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Skövde AIK away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.63 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 12.5%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 25 completed matches (56.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-10-10 15:02:59 · Locked: 2026-10-10 15:40:08

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between AFC Malmo and Skövde AIK ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported AFC Malmo at 0. The stored market movement was 1.93 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-10-10 18:40:09
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