Match context

The upcoming match between Olympic and Utsikten is scheduled for 18.10.2026 11:00 in Ettan - Södra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Olympic are in position 11 with 33 points after 26 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 48 scored and 50 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDW. Utsikten are in position 16 with 12 points after 26 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 6 draws and 18 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 62 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLD.

Recent results

Olympic recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDWLWLLL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Utsikten recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLDLDLLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Olympic recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Utsikten recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Olympic to win with 79% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 78.52%, 13.12% and 8.35%. The model momentum difference is 70.17 points in favour of Olympic. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.13%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Olympic +0.25 / Utsikten -0.25 supports Olympic by an average 2.42 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 84.84% group success rate across 607 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Olympic at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 16 of 26 completed matches (61.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Utsikten away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.14 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 28.6%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 26 completed matches (57.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Olympic and Utsikten ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Olympic at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. In this game, Olympic received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Utsikten away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.14 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.29 total cards per match. In this game, Utsikten received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.29 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Olympic at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2.42 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.