Match context

The upcoming match between Järfälla and Stockholm Internazionale is scheduled for 01.08.2026 14:00 in Ettan - Norra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Järfälla are in position 10 with 15 points after 14 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLL. Stockholm Internazionale are in position 4 with 27 points after 14 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD.

Recent results

Järfälla recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLLWWLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Stockholm Internazionale recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWDWLLW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Järfälla recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Stockholm Internazionale recorded 3 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Stockholm Internazionale to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.99%, 19.99% and 62.03%. The model momentum difference is 44.04 points in favour of Stockholm Internazionale. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.06%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Järfälla -0.25 / Stockholm Internazionale +0.25 supports Stockholm Internazionale by an average 4.44 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Järfälla and Stockholm Internazionale ended 0-4. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 total goals, while this match produced 4. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Stockholm Internazionale at +0.25. The stored market movement was 4.44 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-4, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.