Match context

The upcoming match between IF Karlstad and Assyriska FF is scheduled for 15.08.2026 14:00 in Ettan - Norra. The listed venue is Tingvalla IP, Karlstad. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
IF Karlstad are in position 2 with 36 points after 15 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDW. Assyriska FF are in position 9 with 20 points after 15 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDL.

Recent results

IF Karlstad recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLDWWWDW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Assyriska FF recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDLLWLD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, IF Karlstad recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Assyriska FF recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.17 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as IF Karlstad or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.47%, 21.76% and 18.78%. The model momentum difference is 40.69 points in favour of IF Karlstad. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.03%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for IF Karlstad at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 16 completed matches (62.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Assyriska FF away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 13 of 16 completed matches (81.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between IF Karlstad and Assyriska FF ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.17 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for IF Karlstad at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, IF Karlstad received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Assyriska FF away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. In this game, Assyriska FF received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.43 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.