Match context

The upcoming match between Hammarby Talang and Sollentuna is scheduled for 12.09.2026 11:00 in Ettan - Norra. The listed venue is Hammarby IP, Stockholm. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Hammarby Talang are in position 2 with 38 points after 15 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 43 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLD. Sollentuna are in position 12 with 23 points after 15 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL.

Recent results

Hammarby Talang recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLDWWDWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sollentuna recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWLDDLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hammarby Talang recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and Sollentuna recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Hammarby Talang to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.50%, 17.79% and 12.71%. The model momentum difference is 56.79 points in favour of Hammarby Talang. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Hammarby Talang -0.25 / Sollentuna +0.25 supports Hammarby Talang by an average 1.31 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Hammarby Talang at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.43 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 42.9%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 20 completed matches (50.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sollentuna away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 20 completed matches (60.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Hammarby Talang and Sollentuna ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Hammarby Talang at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.43 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.43 total cards per match. In this game, Hammarby Talang received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.43 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sollentuna away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.4 total cards per match. In this game, Sollentuna received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Hammarby Talang at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.31 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.