Match context

The upcoming match between Karlberg and Arlanda is scheduled for 12.09.2026 11:00 in Ettan - Norra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Karlberg are in position 9 with 25 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLWL. Arlanda are in position 5 with 36 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLD.

Recent results

Karlberg recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWWLWWWW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Arlanda recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLLDLWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karlberg recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Arlanda recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.38 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 62.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Karlberg -0.75 / Arlanda +0.75 supports Arlanda by an average 1.11 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Karlberg at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 16.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 13 of 20 completed matches (65.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Arlanda away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.40 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 20 completed matches (65.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Karlberg and Arlanda ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.38 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Karlberg at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. In this game, Karlberg received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Arlanda away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Arlanda received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Arlanda at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.11 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.