Match context

The upcoming match between Vasalund and Arlanda is scheduled for 04.10.2026 11:00 in Ettan - Norra. The listed venue is Skytteholms IP, Solna. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vasalund are in position 12 with 27 points after 24 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLL. Arlanda are in position 4 with 45 points after 24 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 42 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL.

Recent results

Vasalund recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLLWLDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Arlanda recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLLWWLLD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vasalund recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Arlanda recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 79/100, 79.47% bucket win rate across 570 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vasalund at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.89 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.89 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 44.4%, 33.3%, 11.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 24 completed matches (70.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Arlanda away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 17 of 24 completed matches (70.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vasalund and Arlanda ended 1-4. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.25 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vasalund at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.89 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.89 total cards per match. In this game, Vasalund received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.89 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Arlanda away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Arlanda received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.43 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.