Match context

The upcoming match between Everton de Vina and Universidad de Concepcion is scheduled for 24.08.2026 23:30 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Everton de Vina are in position 5 with 27 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLDL. Universidad de Concepcion are in position 14 with 19 points after 16 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD.

Recent results

Everton de Vina recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDWDLWLD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Universidad de Concepcion recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWLDLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Everton de Vina recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Universidad de Concepcion recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.43 goals per match. Both teams scored in 14.3% of those matches, while 28.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Everton de Vina or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.18%, 26.06% and 18.76%. The model momentum difference is 36.42 points in favour of Everton de Vina. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.25, score 75/100, 75.42% bucket win rate across 472 observations). Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Everton de Vina at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.44 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 33.3%, 22.2% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Universidad de Concepcion away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 3.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 71.4%, 42.9% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Everton de Vina and Universidad de Concepcion ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.43 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Everton de Vina at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.44 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. In this game, Everton de Vina received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.78 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 33.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Universidad de Concepcion away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 3.14 total cards per match. In this game, Universidad de Concepcion received 6 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 6 in total. That was 2.86 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 71.4% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.25. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.