Match context

The upcoming match between Everton de Vina and D. La Serena is scheduled for 11.10.2026 15:30 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Everton de Vina are in position 4 with 36 points after 23 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD. D. La Serena are in position 10 with 30 points after 23 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 38 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDW.

Recent results

Everton de Vina recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLWWDWLD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. D. La Serena recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDWDLDLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Everton de Vina recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and D. La Serena recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 44.4% of those matches, while 55.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Everton de Vina or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.83%, 24.54% and 19.63%. The model momentum difference is 36.20 points in favour of Everton de Vina. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Everton de Vina -0.25 / D. La Serena +0.25 supports Everton de Vina by an average 2.97 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 24 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Everton de Vina at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 33.3%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for D. La Serena away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.91 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 90.9%, 63.6%, 36.4% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Everton de Vina and D. La Serena ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 9 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.67 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10 total corners. The match recorded 9 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Everton de Vina at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Everton de Vina received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for D. La Serena away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.91 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, D. La Serena received 6 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 7 in total. That was 4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 63.6% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Everton de Vina at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.97 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.