Match context

The upcoming match between NSI Runavik and AB is scheduled for 30.08.2026 14:00 in Meistaradeildin. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
NSI Runavik are in position 1 with 41 points after 17 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWLD. AB are in position 6 with 23 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLL.

Recent results

NSI Runavik recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWLLWLWD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. AB recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLWLWWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, NSI Runavik recorded 8 wins, there were 0 draws, and AB recorded 2 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as NSI Runavik to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.80%, 16.35% and 12.85%. The model momentum difference is 57.96 points in favour of NSI Runavik. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.08%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair NSI Runavik 0 / AB 0 supports NSI Runavik by an average 1.70 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for NSI Runavik at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 1.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 20.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 19 completed matches (57.9% coverage). The discipline profile for AB away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 14 of 19 completed matches (73.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between NSI Runavik and AB ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 total goals, while this match produced 4. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for NSI Runavik at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 1.2 total cards per match. In this game, NSI Runavik received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.8 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for AB away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, AB received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported NSI Runavik at 0. The stored market movement was 1.7 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.