Match context

The upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC is scheduled for 26.08.2026 10:30 in K League 1. The listed venue is Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Gangwon FC are in position 4 with 32 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDWD. Gwangju FC are in position 12 with 11 points after 21 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 47 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDD.

Recent results

Gangwon FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLLLDWLD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Gwangju FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLWLDDL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gangwon FC recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and Gwangju FC recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Gangwon FC to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.22%, 23.03% and 16.75%. The model momentum difference is 43.47 points in favour of Gangwon FC. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.87%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Gangwon FC at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.90 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 70.0%, 30.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 23 completed matches (95.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Gwangju FC away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.55 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 72.7%, 54.5%, 27.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 24 completed matches (95.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Gangwon FC at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.9 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Gangwon FC received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 70% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Gwangju FC away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.55 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. In this game, Gwangju FC received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.55 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.