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🟢 Saburtalo II 🟡 Draws Lokomotivi Tbilisi 🔴
Date Match Score
12.03.2026 Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Saburtalo II 1 : 4
25.11.2025 Saburtalo II - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 : 1
27.09.2025 Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Saburtalo II 1 : 1
01.06.2025 Saburtalo II - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1 : 1
16.04.2025 Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Saburtalo II 4 : 2

🗓 Latest Matches: Saburtalo II

Date Match Score Res
06.08.2026 Iveria Khashuri - Saburtalo II 0 - 1 W
26.07.2026 Saburtalo II - Telavi 0 - 1 L
26.06.2026 Merani Martvili II - Saburtalo II 1 - 2 W
21.06.2026 Iberia 2010 - Saburtalo II 0 - 2 W
15.06.2026 Saburtalo II - Kolkheti Khobi 3 - 0 W

📆 Latest Matches: Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Date Match Score Res
06.08.2026 Guria - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 - 1 W
26.06.2026 Basa - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - 1 L
21.06.2026 Iveria Khashuri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 - 0 D
15.06.2026 Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Iberia 2010 1 - 0 W
28.05.2026 Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 - 2 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Saburtalo II and Lokomotivi Tbilisi is scheduled for 13.08.2026 13:30 in Liga 3. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Saburtalo II are in position 2 with 34 points after 16 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLW. Lokomotivi Tbilisi are in position 10 with 19 points after 16 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWW.

Recent results

Saburtalo II recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWLWWWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Lokomotivi Tbilisi recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWWWDWLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saburtalo II recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Saburtalo II to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.09%, 23.18% and 15.72%. The model momentum difference is 45.37 points in favour of Saburtalo II. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.58%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Saburtalo II 0 / Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 supports Saburtalo II by an average 1.06 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 3.5 (odds 1.42, score 92/100, 95% bucket win rate across 20 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Generated: 2026-08-12 17:00:05 · Locked: 2026-08-13 15:31:03

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Saburtalo II and Lokomotivi Tbilisi ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Saburtalo II at 0. The stored market movement was 1.06 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-13 17:21:02
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