Match context

The upcoming match between Portland Thorns W and Orlando Pride W is scheduled for 16.08.2026 00:45 in NWSL Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Portland Thorns W are in position 5 with 31 points after 18 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLL. Orlando Pride W are in position 11 with 23 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLL.

Recent results

Portland Thorns W recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLWDLWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Orlando Pride W recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLWLWWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns W recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Orlando Pride W recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Portland Thorns W -0.25 / Orlando Pride W +0.25 supports Orlando Pride W by an average 1.43 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 14 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 77/100, 77.47% bucket win rate across 435 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Portland Thorns W at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 50.0%, 25.0%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Orlando Pride W away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.14 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 1.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 42.9%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 14 of 17 completed matches (82.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Portland Thorns W and Orlando Pride W ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Orlando Pride W at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.43 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.