Match context

The upcoming match between Bay FC and Houston Dash W is scheduled for 23.08.2026 22:00 in NWSL Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bay FC are in position 14 with 19 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLW. Houston Dash W are in position 13 with 20 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWDD.

Recent results

Bay FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLWWDLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Houston Dash W recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLWDDLLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bay FC recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Houston Dash W recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.40; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 99%; over 9.5 corners — 88%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bay FC -0.25 / Houston Dash W +0.25 supports Houston Dash W by an average 4.45 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bay FC at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 42.9%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 14 of 17 completed matches (82.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Houston Dash W away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.22 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 44.4%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bay FC and Houston Dash W ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bay FC at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. In this game, Bay FC received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.43 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Houston Dash W away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.22 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.22 total cards per match. In this game, Houston Dash W received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Houston Dash W at +0.25. The stored market movement was 4.45 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.