Match context

The upcoming match between NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Portland Thorns W is scheduled for 29.08.2026 00:00 in NWSL Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
NJ/NY Gotham FC W are in position 1 with 44 points after 18 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWW. Portland Thorns W are in position 3 with 37 points after 18 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLD.

Recent results

NJ/NY Gotham FC W recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWDWWWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Portland Thorns W recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLDLLWDL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, NJ/NY Gotham FC W recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and Portland Thorns W recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as NJ/NY Gotham FC W to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.06%, 20.87% and 18.07%. The model momentum difference is 42.98 points in favour of NJ/NY Gotham FC W. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.64%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair NJ/NY Gotham FC W +0.5 / Portland Thorns W -0.5 supports NJ/NY Gotham FC W by an average 1.07 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for NJ/NY Gotham FC W at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 0.38 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.38 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 37.5%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Portland Thorns W away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 50.0%, 20.0%, 10.0%, 10.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 20 completed matches (95.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Portland Thorns W ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for NJ/NY Gotham FC W at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 0.38 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.38 total cards per match. In this game, NJ/NY Gotham FC W received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 0.38 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Portland Thorns W away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Portland Thorns W received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 10% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported NJ/NY Gotham FC W at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.07 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.