Match context

The upcoming match between Denver Summit W and Chicago Red Stars W is scheduled for 30.08.2026 00:45 in NWSL Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Denver Summit W are in position 12 with 24 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLD. Chicago Red Stars W are in position 16 with 16 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 0 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDL.

Recent results

Denver Summit W recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLDLWDLW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chicago Red Stars W recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLLLLWL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Denver Summit W to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.26%, 17.85% and 11.90%. The model momentum difference is 58.36 points in favour of Denver Summit W. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.77%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Denver Summit W at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 0.89 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.89 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 66.7%, 11.1%, 11.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 18 completed matches (94.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Chicago Red Stars W away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.11 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.11 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 22.2%, 11.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 20 completed matches (90.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Denver Summit W and Chicago Red Stars W ended 6-1. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Denver Summit W at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 0.89 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.89 total cards per match. In this game, Denver Summit W received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 0.89 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Chicago Red Stars W away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.11 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.11 total cards per match. In this game, Chicago Red Stars W received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.11 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.