Match context

The upcoming match between Kansas City W and Orlando Pride W is scheduled for 12.09.2026 00:00 in NWSL Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kansas City W are in position 7 with 37 points after 18 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDLD. Orlando Pride W are in position 11 with 29 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL.

Recent results

Kansas City W recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLDDWLDL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Orlando Pride W recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLLLWLLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kansas City W recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Orlando Pride W recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kansas City W or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.01%, 23.06% and 18.93%. The model momentum difference is 39.08 points in favour of Kansas City W. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.20%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kansas City W at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 0.82 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 54.5%, 9.1%, 9.1%, 9.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 23 completed matches (95.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Orlando Pride W away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.33 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.44 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 44.4%, 11.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 18 of 21 completed matches (85.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kansas City W and Orlando Pride W ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kansas City W at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 0.82 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.82 total cards per match. In this game, Kansas City W received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.18 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 9.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Orlando Pride W away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.33 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.44 total cards per match. In this game, Orlando Pride W received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.44 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.