Match context

The upcoming match between Kansas City W and Bay FC is scheduled for 03.10.2026 22:30 in NWSL Women. The listed venue is CPKC Stadium, Kansas City. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kansas City W are in position 8 with 41 points after 26 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 43 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWW. Bay FC are in position 13 with 26 points after 26 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL.

Recent results

Kansas City W recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWWDLDDW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bay FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLLWLDL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City W recorded 5 wins, there were 0 draws, and Bay FC recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 97%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kansas City W -0.5 / Bay FC +0.5 supports Bay FC by an average 2.74 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.92% group success rate across 2589 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kansas City W at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 0.77 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.77 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 53.8%, 7.7%, 7.7%, 7.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 26 completed matches (96.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Bay FC away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.36 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.36 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 27.3%, 9.1%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 22 of 26 completed matches (84.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kansas City W and Bay FC ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 14 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.2 total corners. The match recorded 14 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 97%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kansas City W at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 0.77 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.77 total cards per match. In this game, Kansas City W received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 0.77 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 7.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bay FC away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.36 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.36 total cards per match. In this game, Bay FC received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.36 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 9.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bay FC at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.74 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 5-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.