Match context

The upcoming match between Vikingur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar is scheduled for 09.08.2026 18:00 in Úrvalsdeild. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vikingur Reykjavik are in position 1 with 44 points after 17 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 56 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWW. IBV Vestmannaeyjar are in position 8 with 16 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLW.

Recent results

Vikingur Reykjavik recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWWLDWWL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. IBV Vestmannaeyjar recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLWDWWWD. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vikingur Reykjavik recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Vikingur Reykjavik to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.31%, 19.90% and 12.79%. The model momentum difference is 54.53 points in favour of Vikingur Reykjavik. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.47%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vikingur Reykjavik 0 / IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 supports IBV Vestmannaeyjar by an average 1.66 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Vikingur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported IBV Vestmannaeyjar at 0. The stored market movement was 1.66 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.