Match context

The upcoming match between Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik is scheduled for 23.08.2026 19:15 in Úrvalsdeild. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vikingur Reykjavik are in position 1 with 48 points after 17 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 56 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWL. Valur Reykjavik are in position 7 with 22 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 1 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL.

Recent results

Vikingur Reykjavik recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDLDLWWL. The averages are 2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Valur Reykjavik recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLLDWLLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vikingur Reykjavik recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and Valur Reykjavik recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 80%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Vikingur Reykjavik to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.23%, 16.36% and 14.40%. The model momentum difference is 54.83 points in favour of Vikingur Reykjavik. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.00%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vikingur Reykjavik 0 / Valur Reykjavik 0 supports Valur Reykjavik by an average 3.82 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.70% group success rate across 1978 observations). Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vikingur Reykjavik at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 19 completed matches (78.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Valur Reykjavik away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 3.10 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.30 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 50.0%, 30.0% and 30.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 19 completed matches (68.4% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vikingur Reykjavik and Valur Reykjavik ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vikingur Reykjavik at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, Vikingur Reykjavik received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Valur Reykjavik away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 3.1 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.3 total cards per match. In this game, Valur Reykjavik received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.7 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 30%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Valur Reykjavik at 0. The stored market movement was 3.82 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Even HT goals. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 9 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.