Match context

The upcoming match between Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri is scheduled for 30.08.2026 17:00 in Úrvalsdeild. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Fram Reykjavik are in position 3 with 40 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 43 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW. KA Akureyri are in position 11 with 16 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLD.

Recent results

Fram Reykjavik recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDWWDWL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. KA Akureyri recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLDDWLLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fram Reykjavik recorded 4 wins, there were 0 draws, and KA Akureyri recorded 6 wins. The average total was 4.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Fram Reykjavik to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.48%, 20.67% and 18.85%. The model momentum difference is 41.64 points in favour of Fram Reykjavik. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.49%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Fram Reykjavik 0 / KA Akureyri 0 supports Fram Reykjavik by an average 2.08 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Fram Reykjavik at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 20 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for KA Akureyri away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 3.13 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.13 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 62.5%, 37.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 20 completed matches (75.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.2 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Fram Reykjavik at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. In this game, Fram Reykjavik received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for KA Akureyri away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 3.13 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3.13 total cards per match. In this game, KA Akureyri received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.13 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Fram Reykjavik at 0. The stored market movement was 2.08 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.