Match context

The upcoming match between Dinamo Tbilisi and Meshakhte is scheduled for 10.09.2026 15:00 in Erovnuli Liga. The listed venue is Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Dinamo Tbilisi are in position 3 with 38 points after 0 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWW. Meshakhte are in position 10 with 15 points after 0 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLL.

Recent results

Dinamo Tbilisi recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWLLWDWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Meshakhte recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLLLLWLLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Tbilisi recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Meshakhte recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Dinamo Tbilisi to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.49%, 18.08% and 16.43%. The model momentum difference is 49.06 points in favour of Dinamo Tbilisi. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.62%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Dinamo Tbilisi -0.25 / Meshakhte +0.25 supports Meshakhte by an average 1.64 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 3.5 (odds 1.44, score 80/100, 80% bucket win rate across 20 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 14.70, score 88/100, 87.50% group success rate across 16 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Dinamo Tbilisi at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 17 of 23 completed matches (73.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Meshakhte away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 55.6%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 24 completed matches (87.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Dinamo Tbilisi and Meshakhte ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dinamo Tbilisi at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. In this game, Dinamo Tbilisi received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.78 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Meshakhte away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Meshakhte received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Meshakhte at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.64 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 14.7. The actual market outcome was No FT goals. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.