Match context

The upcoming match between Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali is scheduled for 14.09.2026 15:00 in Erovnuli Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Torpedo Kutaisi are in position 6 with 33 points after 25 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLDW. Samgurali are in position 7 with 32 points after 25 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDWL.

Recent results

Torpedo Kutaisi recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLLDWLWWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Samgurali recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLWLWWDW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi recorded 7 wins, there were 1 draws, and Samgurali recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Torpedo Kutaisi -0.25 / Samgurali +0.25 supports Samgurali by an average 2.68 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Torpedo Kutaisi at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 25.0%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 25 completed matches (92.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Samgurali away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 3.25 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 75.0%, 41.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 21 of 25 completed matches (84.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Torpedo Kutaisi at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Torpedo Kutaisi received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Samgurali away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 3.25 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. In this game, Samgurali received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 8.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Samgurali at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2.68 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.