Match context

The upcoming match between Samgurali and Gagra is scheduled for 11.10.2026 11:30 in Erovnuli Liga. The listed venue is Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Samgurali are in position 7 with 32 points after 27 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 52 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD. Gagra are in position 8 with 29 points after 27 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 11 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLW.

Recent results

Samgurali recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDLWLWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Gagra recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDLWDLDDW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Samgurali recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Gagra recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.17; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 97%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Samgurali -0.25 / Gagra +0.25 supports Samgurali by an average 1.15 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Samgurali at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 50.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 23 of 27 completed matches (85.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Gagra away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.08 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 33.3%, 8.3% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 24 of 27 completed matches (88.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Samgurali and Gagra ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 9 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.17 total corners. The match recorded 9 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 97%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Samgurali at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Samgurali received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Gagra away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.08 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Gagra received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Samgurali at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.15 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.