Match context

The upcoming match between Ahlafors and IF Karlstad II is scheduled for 08.08.2026 11:00 in Division 2 - Norra Götaland. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ahlafors are in position 5 with 24 points after 15 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDWD. IF Karlstad II are in position 13 with 10 points after 15 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDL.

Recent results

Ahlafors recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDWDWWWWL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. IF Karlstad II recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLWLLDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ahlafors recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and IF Karlstad II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ahlafors to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.56%, 20.52% and 16.92%. The model momentum difference is 45.64 points in favour of Ahlafors. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Ahlafors and IF Karlstad II ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 5 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.