Match context

The upcoming match between Helges and Falu BS is scheduled for 23.08.2026 11:00 in Division 2 - Norra Svealand. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Helges are in position 14 with 8 points after 15 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLL. Falu BS are in position 4 with 31 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWW.

Recent results

Helges recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLLLLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Falu BS recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWWLDWDW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Helges recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Falu BS recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Falu BS to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 11.73%, 16.76% and 71.52%. The model momentum difference is 59.79 points in favour of Falu BS. The input data quality score is 84/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.23 with Unibet. The stored estimated EV is -12.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Helges and Falu BS ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.