Match context

The upcoming match between Lidingö and Skiljebo is scheduled for 05.09.2026 14:00 in Division 2 - Norra Svealand. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Lidingö are in position 11 with 14 points after 16 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLL. Skiljebo are in position 2 with 40 points after 15 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW.

Recent results

Lidingö recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLLDLDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Skiljebo recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWWDLWL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lidingö recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Skiljebo recorded 4 wins. The average total was 5.44 goals per match. Both teams scored in 77.8% of those matches, while 88.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Skiljebo (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.85%, 21.78% and 58.37%. The model momentum difference is 38.53 points in favour of Skiljebo. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.23%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Lidingö 0 / Skiljebo 0 supports Skiljebo by an average 2.16 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.47). At least one goal in the match (quota 20, score 87/100, 87.37% group success rate across 190 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Lidingö at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.50 yellow cards, 1.50 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 19 completed matches (10.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Lidingö and Skiljebo ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.44 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 77.8%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Lidingö at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 0.5 yellow cards, 1.5 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Lidingö received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Skiljebo at 0. The stored market movement was 2.16 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.47. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 20. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.