Match context

The upcoming match between Skiljebo and Korsnäs is scheduled for 13.09.2026 14:00 in Division 2 - Norra Svealand. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Skiljebo are in position 2 with 44 points after 20 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 47 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWW. Korsnäs are in position 13 with 11 points after 20 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 47 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLDL.

Recent results

Skiljebo recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWWWDLW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. Korsnäs recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDLLLWWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skiljebo recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Korsnäs recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Skiljebo to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.45%, 14.49% and 10.06%. The model momentum difference is 65.39 points in favour of Skiljebo. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 83/100, 82.94% group success rate across 504 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Skiljebo at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 20 completed matches (5.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Korsnäs away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.50 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 20 completed matches (10.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Skiljebo and Korsnäs ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.