Match context

The upcoming match between Oskarshamns AIK and Nosaby is scheduled for 05.09.2026 12:00 in Division 2 - Södra Götaland. The listed venue is Arena Oskarshamn, Oskarshamn. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Oskarshamns AIK are in position 2 with 39 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Nosaby are in position 6 with 29 points after 14 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWW.

Recent results

Oskarshamns AIK recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLWLDD. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nosaby recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWLDLWD. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Oskarshamns AIK or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.37%, 21.78% and 19.85%. The model momentum difference is 38.53 points in favour of Oskarshamns AIK. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Unibet. The stored estimated EV is -6.22%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Oskarshamns AIK 0 / Nosaby 0 supports Oskarshamns AIK by an average 1.98 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Oskarshamns AIK and Nosaby ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Oskarshamns AIK at 0. The stored market movement was 1.98 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.