Match context

The upcoming match between Connecticut FC and Orlando City II is scheduled for 01.08.2026 23:00 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Connecticut FC are in position 8 with 31 points after 19 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL. Orlando City II are in position 5 with 35 points after 20 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL.

Recent results

Connecticut FC recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLWWLDW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. Orlando City II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDLWWWWL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Connecticut FC or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.06%, 21.95% and 20.00%. The model momentum difference is 38.06 points in favour of Connecticut FC. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.40%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Connecticut FC and Orlando City II ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.