Match context

The upcoming match between Austin II and Vancouver Whitecaps II is scheduled for 16.08.2026 00:30 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Austin II are in position 1 with 49 points after 20 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWL. Vancouver Whitecaps II are in position 13 with 19 points after 22 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 0 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 50 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW.

Recent results

Austin II recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDWLWWWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Vancouver Whitecaps II recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWLWDLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Austin II recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Vancouver Whitecaps II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Austin II to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.17%, 18.89% and 17.94%. The model momentum difference is 45.23 points in favour of Austin II. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.29%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Austin II at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.55 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 90.9%, 36.4%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 21 completed matches (90.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Vancouver Whitecaps II away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 1.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 10.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 19 completed matches (89.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Austin II and Vancouver Whitecaps II ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.