Match context

The upcoming match between Inter Miami II and New England II is scheduled for 19.08.2026 23:00 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Inter Miami II are in position 16 with 8 points after 19 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 17 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 50 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL. New England II are in position 3 with 42 points after 20 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW.

Recent results

Inter Miami II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLWLWLD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. New England II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDWDLWLW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami II recorded 2 wins, there were 0 draws, and New England II recorded 8 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or New England II (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.84%, 20.62% and 59.53%. The model momentum difference is 39.69 points in favour of New England II. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.23%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Inter Miami II at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 33.3%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for New England II away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 50.0%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 16 of 21 completed matches (76.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Inter Miami II and New England II ended 4-2. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Inter Miami II at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Inter Miami II received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New England II away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, New England II received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.