Match context

The upcoming match between Chicago Fire II and Inter Miami II is scheduled for 23.08.2026 20:00 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Chicago Fire II are in position 8 with 36 points after 20 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWW. Inter Miami II are in position 16 with 8 points after 19 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 17 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 50 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL.

Recent results

Chicago Fire II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWLWDDW. The averages are 2.80 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Inter Miami II recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWLWLWL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Inter Miami II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.38 goals per match. Both teams scored in 87.5% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Chicago Fire II to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.80%, 17.18% and 15.03%. The model momentum difference is 52.77 points in favour of Chicago Fire II. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Chicago Fire II at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 37.5%, 37.5%, 25.0% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 22 completed matches (72.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Inter Miami II away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 30.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Chicago Fire II and Inter Miami II ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.38 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 87.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Chicago Fire II at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Chicago Fire II received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Inter Miami II away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Inter Miami II received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 10%.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.