Match context

The upcoming match between Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance is scheduled for 30.08.2026 21:30 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Real Monarchs are in position 11 with 26 points after 21 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 0 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL. Tacoma Defiance are in position 7 with 36 points after 21 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWW.

Recent results

Real Monarchs recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLWDLLW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tacoma Defiance recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWWWWLDW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Tacoma Defiance recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Real Monarchs -0.25 / Tacoma Defiance +0.25 supports Real Monarchs by an average 1.06 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.36).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Real Monarchs at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.78 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 55.6%, 22.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 22 completed matches (81.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Tacoma Defiance away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 22 completed matches (68.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Real Monarchs at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.06 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.36. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.