Match context

The upcoming match between New York RB II and FC Cincinnati II is scheduled for 13.09.2026 23:00 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

New York RB II recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWLLLLD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Cincinnati II recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLLLDLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 3 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, New York RB II recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and FC Cincinnati II recorded 3 wins. The average total was 4.11 goals per match. Both teams scored in 88.9% of those matches, while 88.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as New York RB II to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.22%, 17.88% and 14.90%. The model momentum difference is 52.32 points in favour of New York RB II. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.60%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for New York RB II at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 1.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 20.0%, 10.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 26 completed matches (80.8% coverage). The discipline profile for FC Cincinnati II away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.45 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.45 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 45.5%, 18.2% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 26 completed matches (80.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between New York RB II and FC Cincinnati II ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.11 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New York RB II at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 1.9 total cards per match. In this game, New York RB II received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Cincinnati II away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.45 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.45 total cards per match. In this game, FC Cincinnati II received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.45 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 45.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.