Match context

The upcoming match between Kalju Nomme and Tammeka is scheduled for 02.08.2026 14:00 in Meistriliiga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kalju Nomme are in position 3 with 35 points after 20 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDDL. Tammeka are in position 6 with 26 points after 18 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWD.

Recent results

Kalju Nomme recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDDWWDDLD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tammeka recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWDLWWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kalju Nomme recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and Tammeka recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kalju Nomme or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.41%, 22.82% and 19.77%. The model momentum difference is 37.63 points in favour of Kalju Nomme. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.15%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kalju Nomme 0 / Tammeka 0 supports Tammeka by an average 2.28 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 10 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Kalju Nomme and Tammeka ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Tammeka at 0. The stored market movement was 2.28 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.